Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.202179 0.234807 0.271062 0.314347 0.364640 0.421263 0.489895
2025-04-27 0.153968 0.198237 0.252724 0.324785 0.417708 0.533686 0.689752
2025-05-04 0.128235 0.177227 0.241920 0.333732 0.460962 0.631497 0.878247
2025-05-11 0.108854 0.159361 0.229980 0.336133 0.492139 0.713794 1.054144
2025-05-18 0.093054 0.143168 0.216781 0.333077 0.512902 0.781630 1.216105
2025-05-25 0.079109 0.127213 0.201045 0.322973 0.520256 0.828671 1.350860
2025-06-01 0.071938 0.120471 0.198026 0.331428 0.556478 0.923219 1.571162
2025-06-08 0.064586 0.112277 0.191372 0.332635 0.580315 0.999722 1.770488
2025-06-15 0.059221 0.106613 0.187992 0.338549 0.612242 1.092695 2.008948
2025-06-22 0.052568 0.097776 0.177966 0.331293 0.619610 1.143089 2.176646
2025-06-29 0.047479 0.091089 0.170867 0.328261 0.633901 1.206929 2.376355
2025-07-06 0.043784 0.086525 0.167054 0.330763 0.658616 1.292489 2.627786
2025-07-13 0.041899 0.085317 0.169592 0.346195 0.711076 1.438861 3.022118
2025-07-20 0.039722 0.083268 0.170275 0.358060 0.757999 1.580273 3.426058
2025-07-27 0.037545 0.080929 0.170052 0.367929 0.801831 1.720322 3.845245
2025-08-03 0.034907 0.077278 0.166662 0.370580 0.830406 1.831381 4.215216
2025-08-10 0.032031 0.072749 0.160867 0.367206 0.845169 1.913994 4.531429
2025-08-17 0.028851 0.067154 0.152100 0.356054 0.840843 1.953318 4.751728
2025-08-24 0.027518 0.065631 0.152230 0.365386 0.885205 2.109105 5.271076
2025-08-31 0.025741 0.062847 0.149149 0.366719 0.910570 2.223150 5.702672
2025-09-07 0.024457 0.061092 0.148269 0.373246 0.949373 2.373963 6.246899
2025-09-14 0.022407 0.057211 0.141854 0.365237 0.950670 2.432257 6.558712
2025-09-21 0.020814 0.054294 0.137478 0.361891 0.963535 2.521267 6.964177